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0x320677ed673dcf168d333d6991164521fb866914
- Realised P&L
- $-65.71
- Volume
- $32.7k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $293.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on October 2? · Yes | 0.875 | 0.990 | $293.77 | +$34.13 |
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.99 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026? · No | 0.306 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Starmer out by June 23, 2026? · No | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$126.86at 0.591Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$47.67at 0.303Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$43.56at 0.449Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
- +$36.98at 0.602Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
- +$21.15at 0.526Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 08:09 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on October 2? | BUY | 0.875 | $259.65 |
| 09-30 11:18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.9709999693 | $20.00 |
| 09-29 18:31 | Will England win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.75 | $19.00 |
| 09-29 17:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.9581859332 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 17:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | SELL | 0.989 | $239.27 |
| 09-29 06:10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.9299999999 | $225.00 |
| 07-17 19:16 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5899999994 | $71.69 |
| 07-15 20:54 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.018 | $5.03 |
| 07-15 20:21 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3192094116 | $39.69 |
| 07-15 20:21 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.1191066011 | $29.05 |
| 07-15 19:09 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.2924999913 | $20.00 |
| 07-15 19:08 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.1901935484 | $35.38 |
| 07-14 21:02 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5679999992 | $67.98 |
| 07-14 21:01 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | SELL | 0.9975 | $68.01 |
| 07-14 20:38 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.8799999988 | $60.00 |