PolyBot

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Traders

0x31f4c3f06ab0e6b370ff4976b02ba3d2169012cb

Realised P&L
$-0.56
Volume
$21.37
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$7.14

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.6500.905$1.39+$0.39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.4400.505$1.15+$0.15
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6200.660$1.06+$0.06
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.4400.465$1.06+$0.06
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8000.790$0.99$0.01
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.7500.720$0.96$0.04
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4300.165$0.38$0.62
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? · Yes0.6900.105$0.15$0.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 03:01Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.8$1.00
08-06 18:24US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.75$1.00
08-03 22:19US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.4399998064$1.00
08-03 14:18Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
08-03 06:08Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4399998064$1.00
08-02 20:26Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
08-02 07:47US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.429999828$1.00
08-01 23:34Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.65$1.00
08-01 15:19Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.74$1.00
08-01 04:35Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
07-31 20:35Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.00
07-31 12:30Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.00
Trader 0x31f4…12cb · PolyBot