0x31F2bE7f97E9E45FaD68E15E868FBFd374f41A86-1768250747506
0x31f2be7f97e9e45fad68e15e868fbfd374f41a86
- Realised P&L
- $14.37
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $15.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.75at 0.350US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$38.16at 0.237Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 5?
- +$21.72at 0.226Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $88,000 on January 21?
- +$10.92at 0.850Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on March 7?
- +$9.20at 0.540Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 21:08 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $52.00 |
| 03-25 17:40 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $9.80 |
| 03-12 18:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 03-12 18:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $41.62 |
| 03-11 19:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 12? | BUY | 0.988 | $41.17 |
| 02-20 18:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 21? | BUY | 0.961 | $49.83 |
| 02-20 18:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 02-20 18:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 21? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.20 |
| 02-02 16:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 3? | BUY | 0.988 | $5.27 |
| 02-02 16:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 5? | BUY | 0.235 | $1.17 |
| 01-30 19:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 31? | BUY | 0.986 | $16.87 |
| 01-30 19:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 01-30 19:55 | Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $18.87 |
| 01-30 01:41 | Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on January 30? | BUY | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 01-30 01:40 | Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on January 30? | BUY | 0.0394921 | $3.95 |