PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Frederico1st

0x31df965a843baa8b92d1e75bf26d6ffa1693413f

Realised P&L
$0.99
Volume
$23.9k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$86.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)97.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will AVAX dip to $4 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.960$86.75+$3.61
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$7.70
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.87
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 February 16-22? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.25
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on September 22? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$15.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 14:32Will AVAX dip to $4 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9199999996$83.14
09-21 07:24Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $45 in September?BUY0.9976251628$106.46
09-16 17:33Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.999$99.70
09-14 14:51Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?SELL0.6$24.00
09-09 05:32Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on September 9?BUY0.9986112377$111.79
08-27 10:30Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.999$111.31
08-21 14:51Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?BUY0.003$1.87
08-11 05:30US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?BUY0.993$112.56
07-22 04:00Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.013$7.70
07-16 15:33Will Bitcoin dip to $48,000 July 13-19?BUY0.999$120.55
05-03 09:56Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9759999999$52.25
04-23 06:25Will Solana reach $160 in April?BUY0.9979999932$119.03
04-17 07:53Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 April 13-19?BUY0.999$118.92
03-26 16:00Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?BUY0.999$140.47
03-24 14:34Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETBUY0.9899999962$139.06