ArleneArchibald
0x31ddffdb4e47e960e8b6a39ee4038f5b9a1e109d
- Realised P&L
- $-23.44
- Volume
- $59.3k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $38.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be above $90 on September 18? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.996 | $38.54 | −$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.14at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 8?
- +$0.13at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 21?
- +$0.13at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 16?
- +$0.12at 0.996Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 27-August 2?
- +$0.11at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 07:15 | Will the price of Solana be above $90 on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.65 |
| 09-17 05:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $33.97 |
| 09-16 05:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $28.32 |
| 09-15 05:13 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 15? | BUY | 0.996 | $28.26 |
| 09-12 03:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.996 | $30.02 |
| 09-11 06:53 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on September 11? | BUY | 0.997 | $21.23 |
| 09-09 05:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $35.56 |
| 09-08 05:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.02 |
| 09-05 05:47 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.32 |
| 09-04 05:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.71 |
| 09-02 05:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.50 |
| 09-01 07:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 1? | BUY | 0.997 | $22.48 |
| 08-31 03:48 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.44 |
| 08-29 05:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.17 |
| 08-28 05:54 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.38 |