0x31C41846B363Ed19d7F30c34c1346e924bF0715E-1775602701723
0x31c41846b363ed19d7f30c34c1346e924bf0715e
- Realised P&L
- $85.60
- Volume
- $119.8k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $15.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.025 | $11.59 | −$38.41 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.038 | $4.28 | −$15.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.132Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
- +$80.99at 0.403Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
- +$72.42at 0.120US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
- +$54.24at 0.060Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
- +$47.19at 0.386Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-03 18:27 | Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.17571472 | $87.86 |
| 04-30 05:29 | James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999982 | $50.00 |
| 04-30 05:29 | James Comey in jail by June 30? | BUY | 0.1898734177 | $30.00 |
| 04-30 05:24 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $54.07 |
| 04-29 04:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.20 |
| 04-29 04:32 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.989 | $82.41 |
| 04-24 17:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $4.29 |
| 04-24 17:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $8.62 |
| 04-24 17:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $8.86 |
| 04-24 06:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $4.35 |
| 04-24 06:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $8.89 |
| 04-24 06:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $8.91 |
| 04-24 06:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $4.34 |
| 04-24 06:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $4.41 |
| 04-24 06:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $4.32 |