0x31bcCA50b0824Ff6A5D5cD1c6bd914040458F699-1774991189254
0x31bcca50b0824ff6a5d5cd1c6bd914040458f699
- Realised P&L
- $-16.57
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $7.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.97at 0.051Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?
- +$18.50at 0.051Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 20?
- +$11.45at 0.084Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$1.91at 0.351Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?
- +$1.59at 0.562Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 15:58 | Will Sui reach $3.00 before 2027? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:56 | Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.0389999995 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:55 | Will Solana reach $200 in October? | BUY | 0.0279999998 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:54 | Will Solana reach $150 in October? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:53 | Will XRP reach $2.60 in October? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:53 | Will XRP reach $2.40 in October? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:52 | Will XRP reach $2.20 in October? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:52 | Will XRP reach $2.80 in October? | BUY | 0.0229999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:51 | Will XRP reach $2.00 in October? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:51 | Will XRP reach $1.80 in October? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 16:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 21:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 21? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 16:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 20? | SELL | 0.9429635142 | $19.64 |
| 08-16 15:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 20? | BUY | 0.0479999551 | $1.00 |
| 08-10 21:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 11? | BUY | 0.022999978 | $1.00 |