PolyBot

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Traders

NoahFlynn

0x31b793bb44f3bdc43763a04f5239c7131ea19e3c

Realised P&L
$76.84
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$243.19

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 29? · No0.5230.635$92.42+$16.32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 29? · Yes0.5510.545$75.69−$0.90
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 30? · No0.7480.730$73.99−$1.83
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 28? · No0.5800.025$1.10−$24.35
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 24? · No0.5400.000$0.00−$6.44
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25? · No0.6200.000$0.00−$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 12:00Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 30?BUY0.7480266404$75.81
09-28 06:14Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 28?SELL0.998$62.38
09-28 06:10Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 29?BUY0.5514962558$76.59
09-28 04:10Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 29?BUY0.5228521369$76.10
09-27 15:18Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 27?SELL0.97$43.39
09-27 15:13Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 27?SELL0.9676684679$60.89
09-27 12:06Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 27?SELL0.999$15.37
09-27 12:05Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 27?SELL0.999$42.49
09-27 09:11Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 28?SELL0.5102645985$22.37
09-27 07:10Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 28?BUY0.58$50.87
09-27 07:10Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 27?SELL0.3431836995$10.78
09-27 05:10Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 27?SELL0.999$16.84
09-27 05:10Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 27?SELL0.999$9.29
09-27 02:10Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 27?SELL0.6$9.82
09-26 23:10Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 27?SELL0.5389786756$24.01