NoahFlynn
0x31b793bb44f3bdc43763a04f5239c7131ea19e3c
- Realised P&L
- $76.84
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $243.19
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 29? · No | 0.523 | 0.635 | $92.42 | +$16.32 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 29? · Yes | 0.551 | 0.545 | $75.69 | −$0.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 30? · No | 0.748 | 0.730 | $73.99 | −$1.83 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 28? · No | 0.580 | 0.025 | $1.10 | −$24.35 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 24? · No | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.44 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25? · No | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.02at 0.563Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 27?
- +$17.72at 0.674Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 27?
- +$15.31at 0.575Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 27?
- +$11.01at 0.817Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 28?
- +$5.85at 0.565Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.7480266404 | $75.81 |
| 09-28 06:14 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.998 | $62.38 |
| 09-28 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.5514962558 | $76.59 |
| 09-28 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.5228521369 | $76.10 |
| 09-27 15:18 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.97 | $43.39 |
| 09-27 15:13 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.9676684679 | $60.89 |
| 09-27 12:06 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.999 | $15.37 |
| 09-27 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.999 | $42.49 |
| 09-27 09:11 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.5102645985 | $22.37 |
| 09-27 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.58 | $50.87 |
| 09-27 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.3431836995 | $10.78 |
| 09-27 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.999 | $16.84 |
| 09-27 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.29 |
| 09-27 02:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.6 | $9.82 |
| 09-26 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.5389786756 | $24.01 |