Shjzjzj
0x31afe5571867512194e4ad9c367934ba00ac0f94
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $202.4k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $22.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.3kat 0.420Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$1.6kat 0.432Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$1.3kat 0.124Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
- +$621.62at 0.640US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
- +$371.65at 0.690US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-18 14:57 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.6899999999 | $827.22 |
| 03-18 14:44 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.28 | $500.00 |
| 03-18 14:44 | US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.0694428257 | $220.93 |
| 03-18 14:43 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | SELL | 0.0283326341 | $106.30 |
| 03-16 18:39 | US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.1k |
| 03-15 20:11 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BUY | 0.3727437782 | $2.0k |
| 03-15 20:07 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | SELL | 0.3429833699 | $1.9k |
| 03-11 00:22 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1511930699 | $10.00 |
| 03-11 00:21 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1047905146 | $10.00 |
| 03-11 00:21 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0429259804 | $10.00 |
| 03-11 00:21 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0154825002 | $7.31 |
| 03-11 00:21 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0059036524 | $10.00 |
| 03-11 00:21 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 03-11 00:20 | Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.0702385152 | $100.00 |
| 03-11 00:17 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | BUY | 0.0266529203 | $100.00 |