Camiloher01
0x31af127b64ebb8ad1fc9f18aabf62044f7b2fda4
- Realised P&L
- $-81.54
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 198
- Open portfolio
- $3.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded198
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.170 | $2.03 | −$5.97 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.234 | 0.203 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.017 | $0.82 | −$0.17 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? · Yes | 0.187 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? · Yes | 0.176 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.84at 0.568Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$13.26at 0.284Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
- +$12.86at 0.447Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
- +$10.57at 0.584Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
- +$7.40at 0.407Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 03:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.39 |
| 08-28 03:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August? | SELL | 0.0332964065 | $1.57 |
| 08-28 03:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 03:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 03:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 03:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 03:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 03:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 03:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.7399999674 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 03:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $18.85 |
| 08-28 03:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 03:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 03:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.8899998861 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 03:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.7799998596 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 03:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |