0x31Ae170D36682132a6DF095131Da31A5c223bB51-1773226949654
0x31ae170d36682132a6df095131da31a5c223bb51
- Realised P&L
- $667.12
- Volume
- $27.1k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $815.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.775 | $352.27 | +$2.27 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.455 | $141.56 | +$1.56 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.795 | $139.13 | −$0.88 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.415 | $76.45 | +$6.45 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.575 | $35.94 | +$0.94 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.515 | $35.34 | +$0.34 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.345 | $34.50 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$402.02at 0.562Will England win on 2026-10-03?
- +$337.26at 0.761Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?
- +$231.01at 0.527Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$223.57at 0.757Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
- +$197.01at 0.746Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 22:22 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.56 | $35.00 |
| 10-06 22:21 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.35 | $35.00 |
| 10-06 22:19 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.8 | $140.00 |
| 10-06 21:12 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $35.00 |
| 10-06 21:10 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.7699999999 | $350.00 |
| 10-06 21:03 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.3799999986 | $70.00 |
| 10-06 21:02 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.4499999987 | $140.00 |
| 10-06 20:40 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.4k |
| 10-05 21:13 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.79 | $507.85 |
| 10-05 21:02 | Will France win on 2026-10-05? | SELL | 0.999 | $213.63 |
| 10-05 21:02 | Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? | SELL | 0.999 | $300.42 |
| 10-05 06:02 | Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? | SELL | 0.69 | $42.78 |
| 10-04 22:04 | Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6999999988 | $112.89 |
| 10-04 22:01 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? | SELL | 0.999 | $114.89 |
| 10-03 23:27 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.72 | $1.35 |