PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Abstrat

0x31a4b154fd4443012659ee7285e00b3103969aa7

Realised P&L
$58.97
Volume
$9.5k
Markets traded
127
Open portfolio
$34.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded127
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.9990.992$34.70$0.26
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$15.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 04:58Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.999$34.97
08-26 10:05Does Ox Alpha belong to Google?BUY0.99$31.00
08-26 10:04Does Ox Alpha belong to Tencent?BUY0.999$30.00
08-26 00:48Iran leadership change by August 31?BUY0.9959999891$40.00
08-17 08:06Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?BUY0.999$31.97
07-02 00:17Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.999$61.00
07-01 00:37US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.999$100.00
06-22 12:06Trump out as President by June 30?BUY0.9969999948$93.00
06-04 11:44Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?BUY0.997$77.77
06-01 11:05MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.13$15.34
05-25 11:45Netanyahu out by May 31?BUY0.997$112.66
05-20 03:35Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?BUY0.993$78.45
05-19 00:45Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?BUY0.998$111.78
05-18 01:09SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?BUY0.987$44.41
05-14 09:11Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.976$30.26