rioR
0x31a34e18ef636e544daa6bc4fc2139658b78a1dc
- Realised P&L
- $-9.17
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $4.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.974 | $3.29 | +$0.12 |
| Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30? · No | 0.910 | 1.000 | $1.20 | +$0.11 |
| Will NE/SEA win their 2026 NFL Conference Championship games? · No | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Fantasy Football: Allen vs. Mahomes - Week 1 · Mahomes | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.08at 0.560Matchroom Boxing: Allen vs Makhmudov
- +$1.07at 0.570Trump approval Up or Down this week?
- +$0.35at 0.740RFK Jr & Cheryl Hines divorce in 2024?
- +$0.29at 0.850Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?
- +$0.08at 0.870Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-29 06:51 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $301.79 |
| 05-29 06:51 | Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $89.46 |
| 05-28 07:03 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.993 | $300.00 |
| 05-28 07:03 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $297.60 |
| 05-28 07:03 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.993 | $300.00 |
| 05-28 07:02 | Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $90.00 |
| 03-27 06:11 | Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.999 | $200.00 |
| 03-27 06:11 | Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.999 | $110.00 |
| 03-27 06:10 | Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.997 | $102.09 |
| 03-25 08:11 | Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.999 | $110.00 |
| 03-25 08:10 | Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.998 | $102.00 |
| 03-25 08:10 | Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.997 | $101.69 |
| 03-25 08:10 | Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.998 | $102.00 |
| 03-25 08:09 | Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.999 | $200.00 |
| 02-25 12:46 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.99 | $231.83 |