PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x31a06ade04b46d4c0a3407dfa1baa2e67a30348c

Realised P&L
$-16.36
Volume
$522.00
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$40.28

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration50.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.9000.966$11.59+$0.79
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8600.925$11.10+$0.78
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.5000.895$7.16+$3.16
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · No0.8700.958$6.70+$0.61
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.0670.034$2.58$2.52
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8200.064$0.77$9.07
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2600.075$0.38$0.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-05 03:26Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?BUY0.027$1.08
07-04 20:21Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.86$15.48
07-02 14:36Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.82$5.74
06-19 20:55China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.89$5.34
06-15 16:02China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.85$5.10
06-07 16:06Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.26$1.30
06-06 06:15China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.972$4.86
06-04 05:16Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.96$6.72
05-22 21:56Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?BUY0.21$1.05
05-22 21:56Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?BUY0.89$6.23
05-22 21:55Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.932$7.46
05-20 20:11Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.05$2.50
04-24 02:44Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.93$4.65
04-24 02:44Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.547$3.28
04-24 02:44Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.779$6.23