PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x31a06ade04b46d4c0a3407dfa1baa2e67a30348c

Realised P&L
$-15.37
Volume
$522.00
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$41.23

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.9000.959$11.51+$0.71
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8600.835$10.02$0.30
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.5000.845$6.76+$2.76
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · No0.8700.935$6.54+$0.46
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.0670.041$3.12$1.98
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8200.205$2.46$7.38
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2600.165$0.82$0.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-05 03:26Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?BUY0.027$1.08
07-04 20:21Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.86$15.48
07-02 14:36Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.82$5.74
06-19 20:55China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.89$5.34
06-15 16:02China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.85$5.10
06-07 16:06Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.26$1.30
06-06 06:15China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.972$4.86
06-04 05:16Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.96$6.72
05-22 21:56Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?BUY0.21$1.05
05-22 21:56Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?BUY0.89$6.23
05-22 21:55Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.932$7.46
05-20 20:11Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.05$2.50
04-24 02:44Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.93$4.65
04-24 02:44Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.547$3.28
04-24 02:44Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.779$6.23
Trader 0x31a0…348c · PolyBot