Degen8715487516
0x319cb74a7fc8df9a8a0a2bfd2bb1474d780cd838
- Realised P&L
- $8.91
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $135.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.455 | $66.73 | +$0.73 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.395 | $34.56 | −$0.44 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.335 | $34.49 | −$0.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.89at 0.341Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?
- +$51.45at 0.412Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15?
- +$39.27at 0.432Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?
- +$32.95at 0.502Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?
- +$-10.38at 0.259Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 17:17 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.4499999993 | $31.00 |
| 10-17 17:16 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.4 | $35.00 |
| 10-17 17:07 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.4499999987 | $35.00 |
| 10-17 17:07 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.3399999983 | $35.00 |
| 10-15 19:08 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.4 | $35.00 |
| 10-14 03:14 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.4899999985 | $32.45 |
| 10-14 03:12 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.3299999971 | $35.00 |
| 10-14 03:12 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.4599999971 | $35.00 |
| 10-13 18:43 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.2199999996 | $56.11 |
| 10-13 18:43 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 16:06 | Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.329999996 | $9.78 |
| 10-11 16:04 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.419999998 | $29.05 |
| 10-11 15:40 | Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999964 | $7.46 |
| 10-11 15:39 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.2699999991 | $60.00 |