0x3199e5bfe491effed6ee021222653c0cfd3ef162
0x3199e5bfe491effed6ee021222653c0cfd3ef162
- Realised P&L
- $-18.97
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $5.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.68at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
- +$1.63at 0.469Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
- +$1.40at 0.384Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 26?
- +$0.79at 0.815Solana Up or Down - August 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
- +$0.75at 0.659Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 17:28 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 15:45 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $1.08 |
| 09-26 15:33 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 15:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.02 |
| 09-26 15:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.0222308719 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:15 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:14 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.0416666667 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:06 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.91 | $2.46 |
| 09-26 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.42 |
| 09-26 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 24°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.29 |
| 09-26 12:04 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 26°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 11:55 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 11:55 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 24°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 11:26 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.50 |