0x3190b2D9007D4178dBB7bcc6b3054311b00f6604-1769176177150
0x3190b2d9007d4178dbb7bcc6b3054311b00f6604
- Realised P&L
- $-19.00
- Volume
- $34.5k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $13.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$232.52at 0.270US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$226.55at 0.184UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$213.16at 0.190US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$186.05at 0.210US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$123.88at 0.473Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 04:11 | Will Alex Pereira be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | SELL | 0.0376579467 | $6.10 |
| 06-15 03:35 | Will Elon Musk attend UFC Freedom 250? | SELL | 0.8288695123 | $81.75 |
| 06-14 08:59 | UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.1899999908 | $15.00 |
| 06-14 08:55 | Will Elon Musk attend UFC Freedom 250? | BUY | 0.1520737251 | $15.00 |
| 06-10 10:53 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1019999983 | $50.00 |
| 06-10 10:52 | Will Alex Pereira be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | BUY | 0.3822355214 | $15.00 |
| 06-10 10:49 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0849999992 | $100.00 |
| 06-10 10:32 | UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2709677371 | $30.00 |
| 06-10 10:32 | UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2399999967 | $50.00 |
| 05-30 18:11 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 05-20 05:36 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.3295873533 | $50.00 |
| 05-16 16:30 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.054 | $9.47 |
| 05-15 15:07 | Will Alex Pereira be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | BUY | 0.162807926 | $20.00 |
| 05-15 15:04 | Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 05-15 15:03 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0569999948 | $10.00 |