0x3188E94f597a5a01747D1441F0A3a4806F378f1E-1764295652426
0x3188e94f597a5a01747d1441f0a3a4806f378f1e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $26.1k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $336.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.055 | $200.32 | −$110.67 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.045 | $136.35 | −$166.65 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.77 |
| Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.27 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$101.26 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.28 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$108.80 |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy arrested by December 31? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$102.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 17:38 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0853865715 | $311.00 |
| 07-15 11:53 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $303.00 |
| 02-11 17:51 | Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999992 | $100.27 |
| 02-02 16:47 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $100.00 |
| 01-10 23:37 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16? | BUY | 0.0899091818 | $108.80 |
| 01-08 16:33 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.059445156 | $99.28 |
| 12-02 21:19 | Volodymyr Zelenskyy arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.017468837 | $102.00 |
| 11-30 21:02 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31? | BUY | 0.0532339731 | $101.26 |
| 11-30 14:14 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.0629999994 | $100.00 |
| 11-29 00:33 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $101.77 |
| 11-28 02:13 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.09 | $99.00 |