PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3188E94f597a5a01747D1441F0A3a4806F378f1E-1764295652426

0x3188e94f597a5a01747d1441f0a3a4806f378f1e

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$26.1k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$336.67

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0850.055$200.32$110.67
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.045$136.35$166.65
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$200.77
Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$100.27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$100.00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00$101.26
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$99.28
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00$100.00
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$108.80
Volodymyr Zelenskyy arrested by December 31? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$102.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 17:38Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0853865715$311.00
07-15 11:53Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$303.00
02-11 17:51Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999992$100.27
02-02 16:47Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.119999999$100.00
01-10 23:37Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?BUY0.0899091818$108.80
01-08 16:33Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?BUY0.059445156$99.28
12-02 21:19Volodymyr Zelenskyy arrested by December 31?BUY0.017468837$102.00
11-30 21:02Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?BUY0.0532339731$101.26
11-30 14:14Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?BUY0.0629999994$100.00
11-29 00:33Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?BUY0.0899999993$101.77
11-28 02:13Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?BUY0.09$99.00