vLieP
0x317bdc7ae53e83317949fe6b5f2eef1dd0f07ee2
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $299.9k
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $583.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on September 25? · No | 0.999 | 0.994 | $412.33 | −$1.97 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on September 24? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $171.43 | −$0.43 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.968 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$505.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$951.31at 0.976Spread: Japan (-3.5)
- +$404.49at 0.989Spread: Curaçao (-1.5)
- +$31.42at 0.820Segovia: Yanki Erel vs Dominik Palan
- +$25.88at 0.482Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners
- +$22.33at 0.552Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 12:43 | Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on September 25? | BUY | 0.9987589316 | $414.31 |
| 09-21 12:42 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on September 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $171.86 |
| 08-05 03:53 | Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 08-05 01:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 08-05 01:32 | Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $27.00 |
| 08-05 01:25 | Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.47 | $23.50 |
| 08-05 01:22 | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $23.00 |
| 07-10 02:50 | Spread: Belgium (-3.5) | BUY | 0.997 | $515.59 |
| 06-11 02:40 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.968 | $505.41 |
| 06-06 09:42 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $499.33 |
| 06-03 01:32 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $484.20 |
| 05-19 10:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $483.72 |
| 05-16 09:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $501.47 |
| 05-12 08:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $501.00 |
| 05-04 14:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $499.50 |