0x31752a0ac1d4dc972ff9c8502601257bf3ae9bb2
0x31752a0ac1d4dc972ff9c8502601257bf3ae9bb2
- Realised P&L
- $-625.80
- Volume
- $44.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,147
- Open portfolio
- $4.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,147
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.400 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 6? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.205 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 6? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.615 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 6? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.325 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 5? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 5? · Yes | 0.119 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$0.80 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 5? · Yes | 0.076 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$0.47 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 5? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$329.07at 0.211Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 14?
- +$190.47at 0.181Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 23?
- +$172.01at 0.329Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 12?
- +$157.81at 0.208Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 9?
- +$144.88at 0.367Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 19:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:39 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 08:40 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.0929999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 08:38 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 19:37 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.1791044562 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 18:59 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 18:57 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 18:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.2419999652 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 17:53 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 16:33 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 16:32 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 21:52 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 18:06 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |