0x31752a0ac1d4dc972ff9c8502601257bf3ae9bb2
- Realised P&L
- $-156.38
- Volume
- $37.3k
- Markets traded
- 720
- Open portfolio
- $129.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded720
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$335.51at 0.202Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 14?
- +$192.17at 0.179Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 23?
- +$176.50at 0.317Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 12?
- +$160.63at 0.199Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 9?
- +$149.22at 0.354Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.34999993 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 19:03 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1399999426 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 19:00 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1399999426 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 19:00 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1299999467 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 19:00 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.119999952 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 18:59 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.9968400828 | $33.72 |
| 08-04 18:24 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 17:08 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 17:04 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 17:02 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 17:02 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 16:59 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 16:58 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.14999994 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 16:57 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |