PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Naorr

0x3170594f482764bc13c094c0109fd5304f0fec92

Realised P&L
$-332.87
Volume
$32.9k
Markets traded
450
Open portfolio
$4.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded450
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2700.365$2.70+$0.70
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? · Yes0.1130.023$1.01−$3.99
Will the Republican Party win the CA-15 House seat? · Yes0.0420.014$0.18−$0.36
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? · Yes0.0410.002$0.15−$3.87
Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0900.004$0.05−$0.95
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 10-16? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET · Down0.1700.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Down0.3000.000$0.00−$7.00
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by August 31? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$10.00
Exact Score: Maccabi Tel Aviv FC 1 - 3 Maccabi Haifa FC? · Yes0.1120.000$0.00−$2.00
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00−$5.00
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-15? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$7.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-23? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$8.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET · Up0.1900.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 18:59Exact Score: Liverpool FC 3 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?BUY0.069999999$2.00
09-08 20:02Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08?BUY0.0279999999$5.00
08-31 18:58Exact Score: Maccabi Tel Aviv FC 1 - 3 Maccabi Haifa FC?BUY0.1124689375$2.00
08-25 23:22Spread: Stabaek IF (-1.5)BUY0.5399999881$20.00
08-25 23:22Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.4199999922$15.00
08-25 18:32Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-25?BUY0.2$5.00
08-25 18:20Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-25?SELL0.61$21.35
08-25 18:00Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-25?BUY0.2$7.00
08-23 21:35LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.5899999894$20.00
08-23 19:40Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.1799999833$8.00
08-23 16:30Will Venezia FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.5399999986$8.00
08-23 15:09Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETSELL0.06$0.78
08-23 15:06Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.2299999456$3.00
08-22 23:31SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5BUY0.4699999887$5.00
08-22 23:27SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5BUY0.4699999934$30.00