0x316FD87C463b77C167DCC9457d371115fCBc6F67-1788466826520
0x316fd87c463b77c167dcc9457d371115fcbc6f67
- Realised P&L
- $1.45
- Volume
- $14.18
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $7.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on November 2? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.580 | $7.54 | +$0.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.96at 0.510Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 29?
- +$0.67at 0.602Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 12?
- +$-0.18at 0.198Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:30 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.51 | $6.63 |
| 10-28 14:33 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 29? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 17:14 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.89 |
| 09-10 17:13 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 17:12 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |