PolyBot

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Traders

SmitS55

0x3161321ef91341566d54b8afe1447864a8fb623d

Realised P&L
$-9.4k
Volume
$722.9k
Markets traded
11,179
Open portfolio
$5.47

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11,179
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 1? · Yes0.4450.435$4.35−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 1? · Yes0.0500.070$1.12+$0.32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET · Down0.7400.000$0.00−$3.70
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 29? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$1.80
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 28? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$5.52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET · Up0.1420.000$0.00−$4.62
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET · Down0.9170.000$0.00−$18.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET · Up0.5500.000$0.00−$2.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET · Down0.0190.000$0.00−$0.61
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET · Up0.8700.000$0.00−$4.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 18:52Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 1?BUY0.4493$2.25
09-30 18:52Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 1?BUY0.05$0.80
09-30 18:28Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 1?BUY0.44$2.20
09-30 08:44Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 30?SELL0.076$0.68
09-30 08:41Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 30?BUY0.119$1.07
09-30 08:40Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 30?BUY0.69$6.90
09-28 09:07Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 28?BUY0.47$2.41
09-28 07:31Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 28?BUY0.61$3.10
09-27 08:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETSELL0.96$14.40
09-27 08:41Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETBUY0.8$4.00
09-27 08:41Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETBUY0.87$4.35
09-27 08:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETBUY0.74$3.70
09-27 08:20Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETBUY0.35$1.75
09-27 08:20Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETBUY0.34$1.70
09-27 08:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETBUY0.29$1.45