PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

RagnarTest3

0x3160c33655103cd541c960a6a6207125bf830008

Realised P&L
$-71.72
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$0.14

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Oliver Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.1110.003$0.14−$5.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-30 15:19Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?SELL0.6091036415$8.70
05-30 15:18Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.067$9.18
05-30 15:18Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?SELL0.21$5.46
05-21 14:05Will Oliver Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.0350878055$2.86
05-21 14:04Will Oliver Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.1107034354$15.00
05-21 14:02Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by June 30?SELL0.09$8.50
05-21 14:01Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by June 30?BUY0.1269934225$12.00
05-21 13:59Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?SELL0.28$13.54
05-21 13:58Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?BUY0.3099999903$14.99
05-21 13:55Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL0.1661821185$8.05
05-21 13:52Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.206232474$9.99
05-21 13:50Will Jarrod Bowen be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?SELL0.47$4.12
05-21 13:49Will Jarrod Bowen be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?BUY0.5699999555$5.00
05-20 17:33Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?SELL0.68$3.87
05-20 17:33Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?BUY0.7$3.99