PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

NistoGoFast

0x315944774551cb8adde6c0d8a44d5fe60a947863

Realised P&L
$-75.28
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$4.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration88.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1900.029$3.00−$17.00
Will Sean O'Malley be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.037$1.25−$3.75
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on July 2? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00−$15.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$6.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 2? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$4.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 2? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$10.15
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card) · Gilbert Burns0.2800.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-01 16:58Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on July 2?BUY0.0679412444$15.00
07-01 16:57Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 2?BUY0.00498132$4.00
07-01 16:56Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2?BUY0.0699999897$6.00
07-01 16:56Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 2?BUY0.0224103586$10.00
04-18 05:32Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.6099999897$16.00
04-18 04:28Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1899999939$20.00
02-01 06:22Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 46-47°F on February 2?BUY0.3235293775$5.00
02-01 06:18Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on February 1?BUY0.4743082805$5.00
02-01 06:17Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on February 1?BUY0.4899999804$5.00
02-01 06:16Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 35°F or below on February 1?BUY0.3773584906$5.00
02-01 06:10Will the highest temperature in New York City be 29-30°F on February 2?BUY0.2272727273$5.00
02-01 06:10Will the highest temperature in New York City be 22-23°F on February 1?BUY0.1442307473$5.00
02-01 06:05Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 2?BUY0.4$2.50
02-01 06:05Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 2?BUY0.32$2.50
02-01 05:57Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 38°C or below on February 2?BUY0.9108910801$5.00