NistoGoFast
0x315944774551cb8adde6c0d8a44d5fe60a947863
- Realised P&L
- $-75.28
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $4.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.029 | $3.00 | −$17.00 |
| Will Sean O'Malley be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.037 | $1.25 | −$3.75 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on July 2? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 2? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 2? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.15 |
| UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card) · Gilbert Burns | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.23at 0.610Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$0.81at 0.860Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C or below on February 1?
- +$0.49at 0.911Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 38°C or below on February 2?
- +$-2.50at 0.400Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 2?
- +$-2.50at 0.320Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 16:58 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on July 2? | BUY | 0.0679412444 | $15.00 |
| 07-01 16:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.00498132 | $4.00 |
| 07-01 16:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.0699999897 | $6.00 |
| 07-01 16:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.0224103586 | $10.00 |
| 04-18 05:32 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.6099999897 | $16.00 |
| 04-18 04:28 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1899999939 | $20.00 |
| 02-01 06:22 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 46-47°F on February 2? | BUY | 0.3235293775 | $5.00 |
| 02-01 06:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on February 1? | BUY | 0.4743082805 | $5.00 |
| 02-01 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on February 1? | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 02-01 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 35°F or below on February 1? | BUY | 0.3773584906 | $5.00 |
| 02-01 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 29-30°F on February 2? | BUY | 0.2272727273 | $5.00 |
| 02-01 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 22-23°F on February 1? | BUY | 0.1442307473 | $5.00 |
| 02-01 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 2? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.50 |
| 02-01 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 2? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.50 |
| 02-01 05:57 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 38°C or below on February 2? | BUY | 0.9108910801 | $5.00 |