PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

23Stable

0x314faf80131a608fee46e2b653c72e9c5e23e463

Realised P&L
$-672.27
Volume
$30.2k
Markets traded
1,044
Open portfolio
$71.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,044
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29? · Yes0.2500.315$15.75+$3.25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 30? · No0.6900.755$3.02+$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 28? · No0.7100.980$2.94+$0.81
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 28? · No0.7200.695$2.78−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 30? · No0.7200.550$2.75−$0.85
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 30? · Yes0.2500.270$2.70+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on September 29? · No0.6700.610$2.44−$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 29? · No0.7000.595$2.38−$0.42
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 28? · No0.6700.580$2.35−$0.37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30? · No0.6800.580$2.32−$0.40
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 29? · No0.7200.760$2.28+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 30? · Yes0.2500.210$2.10−$0.40
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 29? · No0.6300.700$2.10+$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 29? · No0.6300.650$1.95+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 28? · No0.6300.485$1.94−$0.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 12:24Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28?SELL0.999$4.00
09-28 12:21Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 29?SELL0.26$2.34
09-28 11:33Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29?BUY0.31$1.55
09-28 09:50Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29?BUY0.64$3.20
09-28 06:56Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 31°C on September 30?BUY0.25$1.00
09-28 06:56Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 30?BUY0.69$2.76
09-28 06:56Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 30?BUY0.25$1.00
09-28 06:04Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 28?BUY0.29$1.16
09-28 05:22Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30?BUY0.68$2.72
09-28 03:18Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 28?BUY0.69$2.07
09-28 01:45Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 28?BUY0.72$2.16
09-28 00:53Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 28?BUY0.26$1.04
09-28 00:53Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 28?BUY0.25$1.00
09-27 22:59Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 29?BUY0.72$2.16
09-27 22:07Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 28?BUY0.26$1.04