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Traders

tsunn

0x314f23cdcbfd92581f6c155184ce9a0769a2220a

Realised P&L
$793.42
Volume
$90.1k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.8680.977$224.95+$24.95
Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.8660.969$223.76+$23.76
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.7600.932$213.30+$39.35
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? · No0.6000.835$139.17+$39.17
Will SBF appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? · No0.8900.745$100.48$19.52
Will Brian Armstrong appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? · No0.8610.929$86.28+$6.28
Will Javier Milei appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? · No0.9200.585$47.05$26.95
Will Andrew Kang appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? · No0.8800.588$46.73$23.27
Will Su Zhu appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? · No0.9100.571$45.76$27.24
Will Jesse Pollak appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? · No0.9100.564$45.24$27.76
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2230.040$22.48$104.52
USDC depeg by December 31? · Yes0.0900.011$5.75$39.25
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? · Yes0.5000.140$2.80$7.20
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? · No0.0060.000$0.00$15.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$143.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-30 16:17Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.5801703926$510.74
07-10 12:55Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3549999782$10.00
07-10 12:55Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.058$24.49
07-10 12:54Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.165$168.30
07-06 21:10Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL0.65$181.30
07-05 19:54Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2899999846$10.00
06-25 20:05Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.3585089596$100.00
06-01 13:01MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL0.621$314.42
06-01 12:36MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.7899999998$400.00
05-27 11:35MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7799999997$500.00
05-27 09:30MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7699999983$390.00
05-26 13:26MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7324364218$500.00
05-22 08:59Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.917$1.4k
05-22 08:59Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.981$6.3k
05-22 08:58Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.8726800741$1.2k
Trader tsunn · PolyBot Pro