tsunn
0x314f23cdcbfd92581f6c155184ce9a0769a2220a
- Realised P&L
- $793.42
- Volume
- $90.1k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.380MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$426.84at 0.767MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$394.05at 0.700Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$164.01at 0.465Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$133.81at 0.959Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 16:17 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5801703926 | $510.74 |
| 07-10 12:55 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3549999782 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 12:55 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.058 | $24.49 |
| 07-10 12:54 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.165 | $168.30 |
| 07-06 21:10 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.65 | $181.30 |
| 07-05 19:54 | Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 20:05 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.3585089596 | $100.00 |
| 06-01 13:01 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.621 | $314.42 |
| 06-01 12:36 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999998 | $400.00 |
| 05-27 11:35 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999997 | $500.00 |
| 05-27 09:30 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999983 | $390.00 |
| 05-26 13:26 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7324364218 | $500.00 |
| 05-22 08:59 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.917 | $1.4k |
| 05-22 08:59 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.981 | $6.3k |
| 05-22 08:58 | Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8726800741 | $1.2k |