PolyBot

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Traders

0x314e2286fb21ef16c95f2e7cc8875f0029f8dba9

0x314e2286fb21ef16c95f2e7cc8875f0029f8dba9

Realised P&L
$-18.01
Volume
$680.93
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$28.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 22? · No0.4900.830$12.62+$5.17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 23? · Yes0.1700.105$7.62$4.71
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on September 23? · Yes0.1420.165$5.89+$0.81
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 32°C on September 22? · No0.1060.015$1.38$8.41
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 22? · Yes0.2910.085$0.91$2.21
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 22? · Yes0.3570.007$0.28$13.84
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 22? · Yes0.2530.001$0.05$27.29
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 22? · Yes0.2000.001$0.00$1.20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 69°F or below on September 19? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00$5.22
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 18? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 19? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$2.47
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 18? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$0.91
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 18? · Yes0.3950.000$0.00$25.25
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 19? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$2.73
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 20? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$1.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 10:48Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 32°C on September 22?BUY0.1063652174$9.79
09-22 09:12Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22?SELL0.996$4.98
09-22 00:19Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on September 23?BUY0.14$0.70
09-21 22:43Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 23?SELL0.11$0.99
09-21 22:31Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on September 23?BUY0.15$1.29
09-21 21:21Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 23?BUY0.17$13.86
09-21 21:08Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22?BUY0.21$1.05
09-21 21:05Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 22?BUY0.49$4.27
09-21 18:53Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 22?BUY0.2$1.20
09-21 17:28Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 22?SELL0.35$14.00
09-21 17:13Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 22?BUY0.2915607477$3.12
09-21 17:01Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 22?BUY0.3568573224$28.39
09-21 14:17Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 22?BUY0.22$2.20
09-21 14:03Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 22?BUY0.2564908163$25.14
09-18 09:06Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 18?BUY0.28$1.40