0x314e2286fb21ef16c95f2e7cc8875f0029f8dba9
0x314e2286fb21ef16c95f2e7cc8875f0029f8dba9
- Realised P&L
- $-18.01
- Volume
- $680.93
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $28.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.71at 0.286Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 18?
- +$5.72at 0.271Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 18?
- +$4.97at 0.502Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 20?
- +$3.83at 0.220Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22?
- +$2.26at 0.603Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 10:48 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 32°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.1063652174 | $9.79 |
| 09-22 09:12 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.996 | $4.98 |
| 09-22 00:19 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 09-21 22:43 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.99 |
| 09-21 22:31 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.29 |
| 09-21 21:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.17 | $13.86 |
| 09-21 21:08 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 09-21 21:05 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.27 |
| 09-21 18:53 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.20 |
| 09-21 17:28 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.35 | $14.00 |
| 09-21 17:13 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.2915607477 | $3.12 |
| 09-21 17:01 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.3568573224 | $28.39 |
| 09-21 14:17 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 09-21 14:03 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.2564908163 | $25.14 |
| 09-18 09:06 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |