yxx
0x314826fd2eddfcd8ecbcaf125819af35ff5ddcf4
- Realised P&L
- $-39.75
- Volume
- $25.4k
- Markets traded
- 543
- Open portfolio
- $49.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded543
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.41at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 31?
- +$2.17at 0.240Will Zama launch a token in 2025?
- +$1.70at 0.370Ethereum above $1,600 on April 18?
- +$1.65at 0.985Ethereum all time high by October 31?
- +$1.51at 0.994Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 04:14 | XRP Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 04:13 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 09-22 04:12 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | SELL | 0.996 | $1.04 |
| 09-22 04:12 | Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 04:12 | Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.991 | $87.21 |
| 09-18 07:44 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | BUY | 0.9579999866 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 07:44 | XRP Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 07:44 | Solana Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 07:43 | Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $87.82 |
| 09-18 07:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | SELL | 0.993 | $89.37 |
| 09-16 05:40 | XRP Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 05:33 | Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.9907887778 | $89.17 |
| 09-14 10:47 | XRP Up or Down on September 14? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 10:46 | Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $89.82 |
| 09-14 10:45 | Will Solana dip to $10 in September? | SELL | 0.998 | $89.82 |