0x31446202f39551f1e14bfd6e42c80aa6f2e99502
0x31446202f39551f1e14bfd6e42c80aa6f2e99502
- Realised P&L
- $-802.38
- Volume
- $19.0k
- Markets traded
- 128
- Open portfolio
- $0.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded128
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.001 | $0.32 | −$229.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$109.70at 0.400Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
- +$56.16at 0.538Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFire
- +$51.45at 0.608Estoril Open, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Juan Carlos Prado
- +$44.10at 0.684Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Reese Brantmeier
- +$35.71at 0.420Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 07:39 | Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.3599217352 | $229.94 |
| 09-29 07:28 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.5763284372 | $63.17 |
| 09-29 07:28 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.448 | $179.44 |
| 09-28 22:01 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4229999988 | $49.35 |
| 09-27 14:56 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.7219999848 | $23.16 |
| 09-27 14:56 | Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries | SELL | 0.71 | $24.39 |
| 09-27 14:44 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.721999991 | $55.98 |
| 09-27 14:12 | Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Coleman Wong | BUY | 0.4299999978 | $29.42 |
| 09-27 14:12 | Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Coleman Wong | BUY | 0.4957998406 | $29.42 |
| 09-27 12:24 | Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries | BUY | 0.7276656482 | $25.00 |
| 09-27 12:19 | Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Reese Brantmeier | SELL | 0.999 | $142.33 |
| 09-27 10:39 | Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Reese Brantmeier | BUY | 0.6699999984 | $21.17 |
| 09-27 10:39 | Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Reese Brantmeier | BUY | 0.6699999971 | $74.29 |
| 09-25 22:12 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.5779999999 | $47.55 |
| 09-25 22:12 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.782 | $48.27 |