0x31446202f39551f1e14bfd6e42c80aa6f2e99502
- Realised P&L
- $-451.22
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $86.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hagen: Tom Gentzsch vs Henri Squire · Tom Gentzsch | 0.570 | 0.575 | $20.18 | +$0.18 |
| Hagen: Elmer Moeller vs Carlos Taberner · Elmer Moeller | 0.610 | 0.615 | $20.16 | +$0.16 |
| Hagen: Zsombor Piros vs Guy Den Ouden · Zsombor Piros | 0.610 | 0.605 | $19.84 | −$0.16 |
| Giustino vs. Kym: Match O/U 22.5 · Over | 0.456 | 0.425 | $17.93 | −$1.30 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.084 | $8.43 | −$1.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$116.37at 0.388Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
- +$53.42at 0.593Estoril Open, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Juan Carlos Prado
- +$36.68at 0.668Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Championship Playoffs
- +$36.58at 0.406Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend
- +$33.33at 0.310France vs. England: England O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 07:58 | Giustino vs. Kym: Match O/U 22.5 | BUY | 0.4557529295 | $19.23 |
| 08-07 07:56 | Hagen: Tom Gentzsch vs Henri Squire | BUY | 0.5699999926 | $20.00 |
| 08-07 07:55 | Hagen: Elmer Moeller vs Carlos Taberner | BUY | 0.6099999927 | $20.00 |
| 08-07 07:55 | Hagen: Zsombor Piros vs Guy Den Ouden | BUY | 0.6099999927 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 09:22 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.63 | $721.91 |
| 08-04 09:16 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.64 | $325.36 |
| 08-04 09:09 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.64 | $308.04 |
| 08-04 09:08 | Aston Villa to win the second half? | SELL | 0.61 | $22.42 |
| 08-04 09:08 | Aston Villa to score first vs. BG Pathum United? | SELL | 0.73 | $24.00 |
| 08-04 09:08 | Spread: Aston Villa (-1.5) | SELL | 0.61 | $21.44 |
| 08-04 09:08 | Aston Villa leading at halftime? | SELL | 0.62 | $23.83 |
| 08-04 08:59 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.64 | $99.97 |
| 08-04 08:22 | Spread: Aston Villa (-1.5) | BUY | 0.64 | $22.50 |
| 08-04 08:22 | Aston Villa to win the second half? | BUY | 0.68 | $24.99 |
| 08-04 08:21 | Aston Villa to score first vs. BG Pathum United? | BUY | 0.76 | $24.99 |