0x314065bada64f7c240a3deb09fbf8fcd40ee6229
0x314065bada64f7c240a3deb09fbf8fcd40ee6229
- Realised P&L
- $-180.53
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 139
- Open portfolio
- $45.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded139
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.21at 0.621Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be at least 15m?
- +$14.80at 0.047Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 25m?
- +$14.65at 0.414Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?
- +$13.47at 0.434Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 140m and 150m?
- +$12.50at 0.550Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 20:37 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 14:05 | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999969 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 13:40 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 13:39 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 15:35 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 15:15 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4479999713 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 01:27 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? | BUY | 0.4829999941 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 05:13 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be at least 15m? | SELL | 0.994 | $49.20 |
| 09-03 02:38 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |
| 09-03 02:36 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 02:26 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be at least 15m? | BUY | 0.6059602578 | $30.00 |
| 08-29 10:20 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 24m? | BUY | 0.748502994 | $30.00 |
| 08-29 10:18 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m? | SELL | 0.1678233864 | $6.21 |
| 08-28 01:23 | Will "Idiots" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.26 | $4.93 |
| 08-27 03:43 | Will "Finding Emily" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |