0x313cd6638722a4a994d6df18a0dbc3b45b422ecc
0x313cd6638722a4a994d6df18a0dbc3b45b422ecc
- Realised P&L
- $-17.94
- Volume
- $75.79
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $8.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-23.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 22? · Yes | 0.609 | 0.359 | $8.63 | −$5.98 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET · Down | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET · Up | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.41at 0.962Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
- +$-0.01at 1.001Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 05:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.599 | $8.39 |
| 09-22 05:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | BUY | 0.82 | $7.18 |
| 09-22 05:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.459999988 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 05:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9199999963 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 05:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.622 | $6.22 |
| 09-22 04:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $10.00 |