0xfafade
0x3135a496407140fe26c1fcae1d2814b228d5cc2d
- Realised P&L
- $262.96
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $1.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 14? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.340 | $1.70 | +$1.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$272.95at 0.151Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 7?
- +$37.26at 0.611Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 11?
- +$22.14at 0.900Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 9?
- +$9.44at 0.787Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 10?
- +$6.26at 0.371Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.74 |
| 10-14 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.57 |
| 10-14 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on October 14? | BUY | 0.994 | $298.50 |
| 10-14 07:53 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 10-13 17:55 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 13? | BUY | 0.7644297082 | $28.82 |
| 10-12 20:54 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.1497727273 | $3.30 |
| 10-12 20:14 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 12? | SELL | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 10-12 19:56 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $124.24 |
| 10-12 19:54 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.9727764555 | $120.97 |
| 10-12 18:54 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.1933921303 | $2.85 |
| 10-12 18:53 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.2424224806 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 16:56 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 10-11 18:46 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 11? | SELL | 0.99 | $97.58 |
| 10-11 17:55 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.5994704271 | $59.09 |
| 10-11 04:56 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 11? | SELL | 0.999 | $302.78 |