PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfafade

0x3135a496407140fe26c1fcae1d2814b228d5cc2d

Realised P&L
$262.96
Volume
$5.6k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$1.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 14? · Yes0.1000.340$1.70+$1.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 14:01Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 14?SELL0.99$5.74
10-14 13:21Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 14?BUY0.96$5.57
10-14 11:00Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on October 14?BUY0.994$298.50
10-14 07:53Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 14?BUY0.1$0.50
10-13 17:55Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 13?BUY0.7644297082$28.82
10-12 20:54Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 12?BUY0.1497727273$3.30
10-12 20:14Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 12?SELL0.998$9.98
10-12 19:56Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 12?SELL0.999$124.24
10-12 19:54Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 12?BUY0.9727764555$120.97
10-12 18:54Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 12?BUY0.1933921303$2.85
10-12 18:53Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 12?BUY0.2424224806$5.00
10-12 16:56Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 12?BUY0.36$3.60
10-11 18:46Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 11?SELL0.99$97.58
10-11 17:55Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 11?BUY0.5994704271$59.09
10-11 04:56Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 11?SELL0.999$302.78