Alfayonaa
0x312e0006ee6e47ae00168c6060df924661b8c604
- Realised P&L
- $-46.66
- Volume
- $19.4k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $271.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.96at 0.082Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
- +$20.63at 0.538US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
- +$16.53at 0.114Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?
- +$15.78at 0.755Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
- +$12.35at 0.702US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 14:55 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $9.60 |
| 07-22 21:19 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $36.45 |
| 07-09 14:08 | Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 14:02 | Will Solana reach $110 in July? | BUY | 0.036 | $6.17 |
| 06-29 20:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | SELL | 0.013 | $2.76 |
| 06-27 08:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 08:37 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 06-26 18:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? | BUY | 0.08 | $12.00 |
| 06-26 18:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 06-25 17:16 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.72 |
| 06-25 17:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | SELL | 0.606 | $24.24 |
| 06-25 12:15 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.76 |
| 06-24 17:29 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $6.24 |
| 06-24 12:48 | Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $10.43 |
| 06-24 12:46 | Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $31.29 |