T-600
0x312a54064fe915c881b36170b16ec0bc2fbeb0e9
- Realised P&L
- $-406.91
- Volume
- $25.2k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $3.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.095 | $3.74 | −$2.17 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · No | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.10at 0.510Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
- +$70.80at 0.747Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?
- +$69.84at 0.057US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
- +$65.06at 0.361Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?
- +$62.10at 0.500Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 04:54 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $40.00 |
| 09-14 19:31 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2148611111 | $19.34 |
| 08-28 15:28 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1670666667 | $12.53 |
| 08-27 03:54 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.211 | $15.82 |
| 08-24 22:38 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.026 | $0.71 |
| 08-20 17:59 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $20.94 |
| 08-14 00:15 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $8.85 |
| 08-09 03:33 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.41 | $61.50 |
| 08-02 16:43 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.7072428788 | $219.24 |
| 08-02 04:15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $26.32 |
| 08-02 02:47 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.54 | $108.00 |
| 07-31 16:29 | Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.909 | $136.34 |
| 07-29 15:08 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $25.58 |
| 07-28 16:51 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $35.66 |
| 07-27 20:45 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.817 | $228.74 |