jgjin
0x31198c3bf3cbac801e3672f8919a65187a8dcc40
- Realised P&L
- $17.76
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $134.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.975 | $134.55 | +$0.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.98at 0.984Netanyahu out by June 30?
- +$1.85at 0.987Trump out as President by March 31?
- +$1.82at 0.957Xi Jinping out before 2027?
- +$1.08at 0.985Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 in July?
- +$0.90at 0.987Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 08:08 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.955 | $130.60 |
| 07-30 07:24 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $42.91 |
| 07-30 07:23 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $264 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.89 |
| 07-30 07:22 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 in July? | BUY | 0.984 | $68.88 |
| 07-14 07:37 | Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $128.48 |
| 07-01 12:50 | Will XRP dip to $0.40 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $128.87 |
| 06-21 08:55 | Xi Jinping out by June 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $128.74 |
| 06-21 07:42 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | SELL | 0.995 | $9.69 |
| 06-06 13:01 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | BUY | 0.987 | $126.34 |
| 05-29 10:49 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY | 0.958 | $124.54 |
| 05-12 06:28 | Will Solana dip to $50 May 11-17? | BUY | 0.999 | $124.88 |
| 05-07 11:26 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.979 | $124.33 |
| 04-27 07:09 | Netanyahu out by April 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $123.75 |
| 04-09 11:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? | BUY | 0.997 | $123.57 |
| 03-27 05:54 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $123.75 |