kriptokityra
0x3111459fbc5df4343c6ac8ad1532229032cb938d
- Realised P&L
- $2.53
- Volume
- $12.0k
- Markets traded
- 972
- Open portfolio
- $1.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded972
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 11? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.700 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 11? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.293 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 14? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.45at 0.370Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 26?
- +$8.99at 0.690Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18?
- +$6.04at 0.450Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 28?
- +$5.25at 0.160XRP Up or Down on February 1?
- +$5.03at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 05:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 11? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 05:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 11? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 04:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 04:34 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 10? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 04:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 05:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.8989999515 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 04:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 04:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 15:42 | Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on October 3? | BUY | 0.9790348086 | $50.00 |
| 10-03 15:41 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on October 3? | BUY | 0.992 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 06:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 15:27 | Will the price of Solana be above $115 on September 28? | BUY | 0.989111276 | $40.00 |
| 09-26 04:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on September 26? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 04:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 26? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |