lexdpc
0x310e95058df69986943b149ab69326a4445d5050
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $232.0k
- Markets traded
- 155
- Open portfolio
- $745.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded155
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? · Yes | 0.174 | 0.150 | $595.59 | −$92.46 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? · Yes | 0.245 | 0.612 | $150.34 | +$90.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.274Elon out of Trump administration before July?
- +$4.1kat 0.138Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?
- +$714.91at 0.555Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
- +$568.35at 0.265South Korean President impeached in 2024?
- +$456.44at 0.050Will Han Duck-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 04:23 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.105 | $6.30 |
| 10-13 14:42 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.170651106 | $24.46 |
| 10-07 00:47 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.65760625 | $105.22 |
| 10-06 05:05 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.1741542526 | $100.00 |
| 10-06 01:17 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.172 | $8.60 |
| 10-06 01:13 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.1750327916 | $100.00 |
| 10-05 05:47 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.6295944444 | $113.33 |
| 10-05 05:46 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.638375 | $102.14 |
| 10-04 14:10 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.6142988235 | $104.43 |
| 10-04 12:56 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.1953291719 | $93.88 |
| 10-04 07:14 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.584 | $105.12 |
| 10-04 07:13 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.252017807 | $100.00 |
| 10-04 07:13 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.5904316667 | $106.28 |
| 10-02 14:47 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.1816239405 | $115.10 |
| 09-29 06:07 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.4605795758 | $79.47 |