lucaos
0x310d856e8be1568db267c4c2b802b4ec50d84dec
- Realised P&L
- $-6.0k
- Volume
- $304.5k
- Markets traded
- 207
- Open portfolio
- $21.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded207
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.601Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$1.2kat 0.527Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score
- +$1.1kat 0.215Spread: Japan (-2.5)
- +$1.0kat 0.475Mexico vs. Serbia: Both Teams to Score
- +$928.20at 0.680Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 04:28 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.4127335269 | $2.84 |
| 10-10 04:28 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.3085324232 | $1.81 |
| 10-10 02:06 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.2715948392 | $2.85 |
| 10-09 23:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.233220339 | $1.72 |
| 10-09 22:49 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.6699999462 | $3.86 |
| 10-09 22:49 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.5499999497 | $3.83 |
| 10-09 22:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 10? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.72 |
| 10-09 21:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.3899999408 | $2.37 |
| 10-09 20:38 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 9? | SELL | 0.71 | $3.95 |
| 10-09 20:05 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.3699999897 | $2.88 |
| 10-09 20:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 10-09 19:21 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.2799999785 | $1.56 |
| 10-09 18:27 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.75 |
| 10-09 18:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.01 |
| 10-09 18:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $15.64 |