0x310a1b3bf2eae41948553478d89bc0578096040e
0x310a1b3bf2eae41948553478d89bc0578096040e
- Realised P&L
- $11.92
- Volume
- $194.68
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $8.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration43.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 · Under | 0.410 | 0.285 | $3.36 | −$1.47 |
| Golden Knights vs. Sharks · Golden Knights | 0.400 | 0.190 | $2.29 | −$2.54 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.420 | 0.195 | $2.25 | −$2.59 |
| Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) · Seattle Mariners | 0.260 | 0.010 | $0.18 | −$4.62 |
| Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) · Chicago Cubs | 0.470 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$4.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.78at 0.281Spread: Chicago White Sox (-6.5)
- +$5.32at 0.485Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 16.5
- +$2.52at 0.665Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 15.5
- +$2.52at 0.665Rangers vs. Devils
- +$1.86at 0.353Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Semente do Mal (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 03:57 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 | BUY | 0.4099999932 | $4.83 |
| 09-23 03:30 | Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.4199999826 | $4.84 |
| 09-23 02:28 | Golden Knights vs. Sharks | BUY | 0.4 | $4.83 |
| 09-23 02:20 | Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2599999924 | $4.80 |
| 09-23 02:07 | Counter-Strike: Saint Sinners vs KUUSAMO.gg - Map 1 Winner | SELL | 0.501 | $4.56 |
| 09-23 01:47 | Counter-Strike: regain vs MarcaRegistrada (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffs | BUY | 0.3599999911 | $4.83 |
| 09-23 01:30 | Spread: Chicago White Sox (-6.5) | BUY | 0.2699999966 | $4.80 |
| 09-23 01:28 | Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 15.5 | BUY | 0.6499999934 | $4.89 |
| 09-23 01:28 | Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 16.5 | BUY | 0.4699999971 | $4.85 |
| 09-23 01:19 | Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4699999971 | $4.85 |
| 09-23 00:54 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.5099999874 | $4.86 |
| 09-23 00:38 | Oilers vs. Jets | BUY | 0.5099999874 | $4.86 |
| 09-23 00:34 | Red Wings vs. Penguins | BUY | 0.39 | $0.55 |
| 09-22 21:49 | Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Semente do Mal (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs | SELL | 0.49 | $0.24 |
| 09-22 21:38 | Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Semente do Mal (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs | SELL | 0.49 | $0.16 |