route69
0x3108a63863f460055693ca283631f2f5a477a522
- Realised P&L
- $-828.78
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $105.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W15 Monastir: Ekaterina Dotsenko vs Astrid Cirotte · Ekaterina Dotsenko | 0.662 | 0.695 | $59.17 | +$2.83 |
| W35 Sharm ElSheikh: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Esther Adeshina · Zuzanna Pawlikowska | 0.630 | 1.000 | $27.01 | +$9.99 |
| W50 Yecla: Carmen Gallardo Guevara vs Georgina Garcia-Perez · Georgina Garcia-Perez | 0.400 | 0.420 | $9.82 | +$0.47 |
| W50 Yecla: Charo Esquiva Banuls vs Tiphanie Lemaitre · Tiphanie Lemaitre | 0.410 | 0.430 | $9.80 | +$0.46 |
| Cardinals vs. Chargers: O/U 44.5 · Over | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.45 |
| Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance · Algeria | 0.329 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.50 |
| M15 Wuning: Geun Jun Kim vs Yuquan Jin · Yuquan Jin | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.24 |
| Western Kentucky vs. Georgia: O/U 55.5 · Under | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.63 |
| Spread: Louisville (-36.5) · Villanova | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$56.05 |
| Steelers vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5 · Over | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.44 |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance · Brazil | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.44 |
| Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance · Paraguay | 0.076 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.49 |
| Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance · Canada | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.18 |
| Spread: Bills (-5.5) · Lions | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Cardinals vs. Chargers: O/U 47.5 · Over | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$197.67at 0.440Buccaneers vs. Bengals: O/U 51.5
- +$138.46at 0.520Oklahoma vs. Michigan: O/U 44.5
- +$138.32at 0.440Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 44.5
- +$124.57at 0.530Spread: HOU (-1.5)
- +$76.13at 0.288Paraguay vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 0.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:45 | Spread: Bills (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $150.00 |
| 09-10 09:45 | M25 Rabat: Ioannis Xilas vs REDA EL AOUNI | BUY | 0.951 | $29.48 |
| 09-10 09:38 | M25 Rabat: Ioannis Xilas vs REDA EL AOUNI | BUY | 0.95 | $29.45 |
| 07-03 01:59 | Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |