SonsOfOnchany
0x31089f4bd0a9a2e276ed763e70d220973314431e
- Realised P&L
- $-5.56
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $40.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.850 | 0.905 | $21.29 | +$1.29 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.920 | $14.60 | +$1.91 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.057 | $1.71 | +$0.71 |
| Will Trump say "Epstein" in September? · Yes | 0.141 | 0.110 | $1.56 | −$0.44 |
| Israeli forces enter Beirut by September 30? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.035 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.021 | $0.48 | −$1.52 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.004 | $0.06 | −$4.94 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.67at 0.753Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
- +$-5.34at 0.011Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
- +$-10.32at 0.217Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 08:48 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 08:45 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15? | BUY | 0.050062805 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 08:41 | Israeli forces enter Beirut by September 30? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 08:40 | Will Trump say "Epstein" in September? | BUY | 0.1408450704 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 08:38 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999969 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 08:31 | Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999957 | $20.00 |
| 08-13 12:03 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $12.69 |
| 07-19 09:02 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0329999684 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 08:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7399999674 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 08:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 08:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 08:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999943 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 19:09 | Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.1256747321 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 19:08 | Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 07-16 19:07 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.0389999982 | $20.00 |