CVX3R4
0x3105924cd895075350ebf59b63bbf39a38001790
- Realised P&L
- $-76.09
- Volume
- $20.6k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $26.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $25.50 | −$59.50 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.001 | $1.40 | −$23.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.96at 0.964Brevis FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$2.97at 0.972Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7?
- +$0.11at 0.999Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 January 5-11?
- +$0.11at 0.999Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$0.10at 0.999Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-24 03:46 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $25.26 |
| 02-24 03:46 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.988 | $24.76 |
| 01-14 01:46 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.991 | $112.89 |
| 01-08 01:28 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 January 5-11? | BUY | 0.999 | $112.77 |
| 12-12 02:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $108.70 |
| 12-01 05:20 | Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |