godson02
0x3103d6e300039357d15369d645fba0fe3c17ea70
- Realised P&L
- $-607.72
- Volume
- $374.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,231
- Open portfolio
- $331.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,231
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration48.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.141Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
- +$1.2kat 0.070Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
- +$1.2kat 0.252Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
- +$799.32at 0.464Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
- +$783.68at 0.525Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 20:45 | Will "Beef" win 10 or more awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.09 |
| 08-05 20:45 | Will "Beef" win 8 or 9 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.83 |
| 08-05 20:45 | Will "Beef" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.022 | $2.02 |
| 08-05 20:45 | Will "Beef" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.05 | $4.60 |
| 08-05 20:45 | Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.42 | $38.64 |
| 08-05 20:45 | Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.4165632234 | $38.15 |
| 08-02 17:46 | Will The Grammys win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.16 |
| 08-02 17:46 | Will The Golden Globes win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 08-02 17:46 | Will The Tonys win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)? | BUY | 0.0587125 | $1.17 |
| 08-02 17:46 | Will The Oscars win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)? | BUY | 0.093 | $1.86 |
| 08-02 17:45 | Will The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)? | BUY | 0.746 | $14.92 |
| 08-01 11:58 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | BUY | 0.227 | $11.35 |
| 08-01 11:58 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.66 | $33.00 |
| 07-29 17:28 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.757 | $15.14 |
| 07-24 18:46 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $29.91 |