ncvndsed
0x30fe65dc31a1936a29a03d579b13dcef64dde4e0
- Realised P&L
- $220.57
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $5.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $284 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.990 | 0.995 | $5.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes | 0.245 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$397.44at 0.530Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
- +$4.57at 0.610Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$2.53at 0.748Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 14?
- +$2.51at 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 14?
- +$-0.26at 0.999Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 06:11 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $284 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 05:47 | Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2449999625 | $4.48 |
| 07-10 05:46 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.5974999744 | $7.00 |
| 06-10 05:59 | Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $235.76 |
| 06-10 05:59 | Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $236.00 |
| 06-10 05:58 | Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $235.76 |
| 06-10 05:58 | Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $236.00 |
| 06-10 05:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? | SELL | 0.998 | $235.76 |
| 06-10 05:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $236.00 |
| 06-10 05:57 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $235.76 |
| 06-10 05:57 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $236.00 |
| 04-14 01:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 14? | BUY | 0.9949999244 | $5.00 |
| 04-14 01:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 04-14 01:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $437.77 |
| 04-14 01:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.507805926 | $216.30 |