PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ncvndsed

0x30fe65dc31a1936a29a03d579b13dcef64dde4e0

Realised P&L
$220.57
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$5.03

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration97.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $284 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.9900.995$5.03+$0.03
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes0.2450.000$0.00$4.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 06:11Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $284 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.99$5.00
07-10 05:47Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY0.2449999625$4.48
07-10 05:46Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.5974999744$7.00
06-10 05:59Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.998$235.76
06-10 05:59Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.999$236.00
06-10 05:58Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.998$235.76
06-10 05:58Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.999$236.00
06-10 05:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10?SELL0.998$235.76
06-10 05:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10?BUY0.999$236.00
06-10 05:57Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.998$235.76
06-10 05:57Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.999$236.00
04-14 01:51Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 14?BUY0.9949999244$5.00
04-14 01:50Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 14?BUY0.999$5.00
04-14 01:30Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETSELL0.99$437.77
04-14 01:29Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETBUY0.507805926$216.30