exzotikstyle123
0x30f53a848765b4280e7ecd58457f71eb8e3ce787
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $102.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,865
- Open portfolio
- $8.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,865
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13? · No | 0.390 | 1.000 | $2.56 | +$1.56 |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? · No | 0.380 | 0.916 | $2.41 | +$1.41 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? · Yes | 0.436 | 0.780 | $1.79 | +$0.79 |
| Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 · Pacquiao | 0.440 | 0.495 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| USDC depeg by December 31? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.015 | $0.24 | −$0.76 |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Chicago Bears next? · Yes | 0.261 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$119.32at 0.326Solana Up or Down - February 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
- +$116.46at 0.229Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
- +$111.87at 0.411Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
- +$90.76at 0.177XRP Up or Down - February 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
- +$82.51at 0.377Solana Up or Down - February 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-31 20:17 | Solana Up or Down - March 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3482586924 | $9.06 |
| 03-31 20:17 | Solana Up or Down - March 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $8.93 |
| 03-31 20:17 | XRP Up or Down - March 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4575 | $8.44 |
| 03-31 20:17 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $9.01 |
| 03-31 20:17 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.1568627451 | $8.79 |
| 03-31 20:03 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.517249725 | $8.75 |
| 03-31 19:56 | XRP Up or Down - March 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $9.32 |
| 03-31 19:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.299999982 | $8.99 |
| 03-31 19:51 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4908163265 | $8.91 |
| 03-31 19:51 | XRP Up or Down - March 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $9.13 |
| 03-31 19:32 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 03-31 19:32 | Solana Up or Down - March 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.359999987 | $9.08 |
| 03-31 19:32 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $9.06 |
| 03-31 19:21 | XRP Up or Down - March 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5123152661 | $9.30 |
| 03-31 19:17 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.409999991 | $9.15 |