0x30f2e2ade5ea2d8cbb2ccd89c7e64233112e3fb4
0x30f2e2ade5ea2d8cbb2ccd89c7e64233112e3fb4
- Realised P&L
- $9.28
- Volume
- $404.84
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $17.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.34at 0.136Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 1?
- +$2.91at 0.259Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 1?
- +$2.63at 0.402Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 1?
- +$1.14at 0.472Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 30?
- +$0.82at 0.532Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 16:33 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:56 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 14:45 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 14:09 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 14:07 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.6699996918 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 13:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.9199995952 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:30 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.06 |
| 10-01 12:19 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:10 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.0589999984 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:24 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.05 |
| 10-01 10:24 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.47 |
| 10-01 10:12 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 09:48 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 09:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.997 | $1.09 |