PolyBot

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Traders

0x30f2e2ade5ea2d8cbb2ccd89c7e64233112e3fb4

0x30f2e2ade5ea2d8cbb2ccd89c7e64233112e3fb4

Realised P&L
$9.28
Volume
$404.84
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$17.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 1? · Yes0.1500.220$1.47+$0.47
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 1? · No0.6700.945$1.41+$0.41
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 2? · Yes0.1100.150$1.36+$0.36
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 1? · No0.7700.935$1.21+$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 2? · No0.8600.865$1.01+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 1? · No0.9981.000$1.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 2? · No0.9300.930$1.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 2? · No0.9880.988$1.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 2? · No0.9990.998$1.00−$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on October 2? · No0.9960.993$1.00−$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 2? · No0.9800.967$0.99−$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 2? · No0.9600.940$0.98−$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 2? · Yes0.2400.225$0.94−$0.06
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on October 1? · No0.9890.904$0.91−$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 2? · No0.9200.815$0.89−$0.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 16:33Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 2?BUY0.859999914$1.00
10-01 15:56Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 2?SELL0.999$1.00
10-01 14:45Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 2?BUY0.109999989$1.00
10-01 14:09Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 1?BUY0.08$1.00
10-01 14:07Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 1?BUY0.6699996918$1.00
10-01 13:37Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 2?BUY0.9199995952$1.00
10-01 12:30Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 2?BUY0.004$0.06
10-01 12:19Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 2?BUY0.996$1.00
10-01 11:10Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 1?BUY0.0589999984$1.00
10-01 10:24Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 1?SELL0.999$1.05
10-01 10:24Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 1?SELL0.999$1.47
10-01 10:12Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 2?BUY0.98$1.00
10-01 10:10Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 1?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
10-01 09:48Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 2?BUY0.96$1.00
10-01 09:42Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 1?SELL0.997$1.09