0x30f2A70b3E4074f9444123B53e0Ce4F5Db6f507F-1782319693231
0x30f2a70b3e4074f9444123b53e0ce4f5db6f507f
- Realised P&L
- $86.26
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 256
- Open portfolio
- $1.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded256
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.64at 0.339Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$73.61at 0.293Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$52.83at 0.888Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance
- +$51.18at 0.734Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
- +$42.47at 0.553Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 17:37 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 08-26 17:37 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $13.00 |
| 08-26 17:37 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.794 | $15.88 |
| 08-26 17:37 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 08-26 17:37 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $19.78 |
| 08-26 17:37 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.958 | $19.16 |
| 08-26 17:37 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.969 | $19.38 |
| 08-23 17:26 | Will Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.209 | $20.90 |
| 08-23 11:37 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $29.49 |
| 08-23 11:37 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $26.10 |
| 08-23 11:37 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $19.80 |
| 08-23 11:37 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $14.10 |
| 08-21 13:45 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22? | BUY | 0.65 | $48.75 |
| 08-21 13:45 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22? | BUY | 0.59 | $44.25 |
| 08-21 13:45 | Will Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.74 | $55.50 |