PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x30f1db1459b6a983cd90e68d9674fbf2cffb3bc6

Realised P&L
$1.69
Volume
$594.00
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$57.62

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration91.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.9000.895$14.32$0.08
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8760.872$12.21$0.06
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.7930.915$10.98+$1.47
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? · Yes0.5000.792$5.55+$2.05
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.6700.925$4.63+$1.27
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.8800.905$4.53+$0.13
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1930.085$4.00$5.07
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2260.095$1.04$1.44
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2200.075$0.38$0.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 07:46Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.87$4.35
07-10 10:06Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.13$3.64
07-04 17:12Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.9$14.40
07-02 03:57Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.19$2.09
07-01 10:32Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.19$1.52
06-28 04:53Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.932$5.59
06-25 02:27Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.22$1.10
06-22 17:56Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?BUY0.051$1.02
06-20 17:55Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.88$4.40
06-16 16:45Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.78$5.46
06-13 15:15Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.21$1.05
06-11 14:46Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.847$4.23
06-08 08:31Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.876$12.26
06-06 05:55Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.67$3.35
06-02 06:36Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.24$1.44