0x30e95c171047cac23f7c280dd26e21269f50b553
0x30e95c171047cac23f7c280dd26e21269f50b553
- Realised P&L
- $3.13
- Volume
- $229.12
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $65.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-3.5) · Real Madrid CF | 0.210 | 0.200 | $27.22 | −$1.36 |
| Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5) · Atalanta BC | 0.410 | 0.400 | $18.77 | −$0.47 |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5) · Arsenal FC | 0.290 | 0.285 | $10.34 | −$0.18 |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-3.5) · Arsenal FC | 0.150 | 0.140 | $8.87 | −$0.63 |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-3.5) · Real Madrid CF | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.28 |
| Will Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.58 |
| Spread: Como 1907 (-4.5) · Como 1907 | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.78 |
| Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.51 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.64 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.84 |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) · FC Bayern München | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.42at 0.406Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)
- +$59.51at 0.587Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
- +$53.48at 0.675Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
- +$37.97at 0.321Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)
- +$32.89at 0.538Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:06 | Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.2899999926 | $10.52 |
| 11-01 20:06 | Spread: Arsenal FC (-3.5) | BUY | 0.1499999984 | $9.50 |
| 11-01 20:04 | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-3.5) | BUY | 0.2099999986 | $28.58 |
| 11-01 20:02 | Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4099999936 | $19.24 |
| 11-01 19:55 | Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.1899999984 | $9.51 |
| 11-01 15:44 | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5) | BUY | 0.7499999958 | $88.99 |
| 11-01 15:42 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.975004659 | $92.08 |
| 11-01 07:53 | Spread: Como 1907 (-4.5) | BUY | 0.08 | $3.78 |
| 10-31 22:10 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.8099999998 | $76.50 |
| 10-31 22:06 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $147.96 |
| 10-31 21:30 | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4199999983 | $19.24 |
| 10-31 21:30 | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-3.5) | BUY | 0.259999999 | $15.28 |
| 10-31 21:28 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31? | SELL | 0.92 | $37.18 |
| 10-31 20:13 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5) | BUY | 0.67 | $19.47 |
| 10-31 20:12 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31? | SELL | 0.46 | $18.59 |